Research

JACKSONVILLE, FL - The yield curve inversion is often seen as a reliable predictor of economic recessions, with a history of signaling downturns approximately 6 months to 2 years before they occur. However, its reliability is sometimes overstated, as a [...]

JACKSONVILLE, FL - Examining the relationship between interest rates set by the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank (ECB) provides crucial insights into economic conditions and their impact on real estate markets. Although there is a strong correlation in [...]

JACKSONVILLE, FL - New apartment construction has only experienced drastic year-over-year (YoY) declines once since 1996, which occurred during the Great Financial Crisis (GFC) in 2010. This research examines the predictive relationships between the issuance of building permits for multifamily [...]

JACKSONVILLE, FL - The construction sector and housing market are critical indicators of economic health and consumer confidence. This article explores the nuanced relationship between construction employment—a proxy for the sector's vitality—and apartment prices, particularly through the lens of economic [...]

JACKSONVILLE, FL - The reliability of inflation forecasts has dominated discussions on both Wall Street and Main Street recently, impacting our economy and influencing policy decisions. It's commonly believed that inflation expectations, particularly official forecasts, can reliably predict future inflation [...]

JACKSONVILLE, FL - In the realm of multifamily real estate, two critical indicators are the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) and the market yield of a ten-year Treasury note (DGS10). This article delves into the correlation between these two rates [...]